Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 297.235252 337.015163 381.462101 435.049728 498.229594 570.745049 660.841891
2025-02-09 237.615087 289.283492 352.398610 436.151201 545.858704 686.788253 885.026150
2025-02-16 199.762208 254.347866 324.938605 424.719618 565.122432 760.361925 1061.142951
2025-02-23 174.297137 229.745738 304.717531 416.168928 582.431023 829.504610 1241.274240
2025-03-02 160.714548 218.534500 299.931270 426.692825 626.486565 942.999621 1513.246881
2025-03-09 147.082389 205.204677 289.823556 426.891763 653.414652 1033.049304 1766.950916
2025-03-16 133.728650 190.603662 275.769042 418.405429 663.953775 1096.311674 1986.806659
2025-03-23 124.691390 181.412981 268.692386 419.727927 690.498282 1191.676521 2293.849498
2025-03-30 114.796978 169.879869 256.577927 410.788617 696.968989 1250.067177 2539.085828
2025-04-06 107.526550 161.787265 249.112534 408.736258 715.425885 1334.884158 2868.549224
2025-04-13 97.986666 149.227571 233.045130 389.371849 697.598682 1341.246262 3010.746561
2025-04-20 95.435552 147.913731 235.812882 404.673570 750.662992 1510.375117 3627.389011
2025-04-27 93.843283 148.194873 241.577197 426.826761 822.810283 1742.673776 4526.831692
2025-05-04 89.130037 142.749598 236.664362 427.601128 849.344346 1873.507791 5187.785795
2025-05-11 83.247355 134.798778 226.459625 416.453750 847.209115 1931.399270 5638.883605
2025-05-18 78.291508 128.138043 218.082221 408.106995 850.259251 2004.002658 6179.302809
2025-05-25 76.080364 126.250584 218.522339 418.379400 899.609578 2217.436161 7371.701937
2025-06-01 72.851320 122.255961 214.544591 418.573569 924.035380 2365.797674 8397.124982
2025-06-08 68.942700 116.735158 207.129432 410.290178 925.367355 2444.621124 9169.676676
2025-06-15 66.361479 113.542421 204.088901 411.581112 952.290049 2612.794852 10492.622277
2025-06-22 62.953921 108.560938 197.054338 402.854713 950.558968 2685.994454 11388.264581
2025-06-29 60.449012 105.171547 193.038379 400.851086 967.462657 2829.380504 12798.411639
2025-07-06 56.527755 98.808079 182.422871 381.943684 932.985049 2779.431967 13025.681104